The rising tide is just a start. Many small and medium-sized enterprises will face six crises, such as the shortage of raw materials, environmental protection to capacity, the more complex environment of foreign trade, the expansion of production from overseas factories, funds and unmarketable products, which will eventually detonate the collapse of small and medium-sized enterprises.
This rise in price can be said to be the third round of the rise after the surge in the year before the wave, the most unpredictable flood tide in the history behind the horror of the tide of bankruptcy, are you ready?
Crisis one: price rise difference
Due to the transmission of raw material prices, the atmosphere of price rising has been noticeable in the market. As a matter of reason, the rise of raw materials affects every enterprise, to increase the same, but why the price range of small and medium-sized enterprises and the range of large enterprises is so different?
There are three reasons.
(1) the raw materials used in large enterprises are futures, and the raw materials of small and medium-sized enterprises are now commonly used now. Because of the large demand for raw materials of large enterprises, it is difficult for the suppliers of single raw materials to meet all the raw materials supply. So, the raw materials of the large enterprises are generally used in the futures. Futures trading can reverse the procedure of spot trading, that is, no goods can be sold first, no goods can be bought.
The characteristics of futures trading make it possible for large enterprises to buy the raw materials supply in the next few months before the price rise, and greatly reduce the impact of the increase in raw material prices on the enterprises. The resistance of materials to raise price is very weak. The price of raw materials will go up sharply, and the price must also go up to meet the production cost.
(2) large enterprises have high value-added of raw materials and strong ability to resist the risk of rising prices. In the past, large enterprises have mastered the middle and high end markets with advanced technology and high-end manufacturing. Small and medium-sized enterprises can only take advantage of low price to seize the low end market.
But the same product, the profit that it brings to the enterprise is different. The reason why the high end product is so expensive is that the cost input of the technology input, the manufacturing process upgrading and the brand building account for the important part of its product cost, and the proportion of the raw material cost is relatively small, the raw material is rising to its whole product. The driving cost increases little, while the price of SMEs is relatively cheap, and the cost of raw materials accounts for a large proportion of the cost of their products. Therefore, the price of raw materials has skyrocketed, and their prices have skyrocketed.
(3) large enterprises have sufficient funds and good reputation. Large enterprises also have great advantages in capital, and the bank credit is relatively high. They can have enough cash flow to cope with the price rise. On the contrary, small and medium-sized enterprises in China mostly rely on bank loans to build factories. They also carry huge amounts of principal and interest repayment of banks.
Therefore, the negative impact of this rising tide on small and medium-sized enterprises is very large, and it is likely to become an early collapse of SMEs.
Crisis two: raw materials are short
The Chinese government has shut down a large number of small and medium-sized raw material producers due to environmental pressure. This year's Spring Festival just passed, the rising price of the wind continues to hit, the raw materials boom, the sound of all trades and trades rising, the market so abused people, many enterprises say, there are orders now do not dare to answer! After the days do not talk about the price, the shortage will be called normal, your suppliers have the goods to you, that is the biggest success!
Large enterprises can guarantee the stable supply of their raw materials by signing long-term supply contracts with suppliers, and building their own raw materials base, while the supply of raw materials for small and medium-sized enterprises is difficult to guarantee. On the one hand, the major suppliers of raw materials supply large enterprises, on the other hand, small and medium-sized raw materials manufacturers are large. The volume is closed, and the rest is hard to guarantee so many needs.
In 2017, China implemented a more stringent environmental protection law. The shortage of raw materials for small and medium-sized enterprises will be more serious. In the future, small and medium-sized enterprises are facing a large scale of shutdown or even bankruptcy crisis.
Crisis three: environmental protection to capacity
Recently, environmental supervision went on to the eighth round and rushed to the peak again. From the beginning of the eighth round, strengthen supervision in the play. The Ministry of environmental protection pointed out that from July 21st, the Ministry of environmental protection will carry out special supervision for the two provinces of Hebei and Henan to implement the "ten air" plan, and the special supervision will continue for 84 days.
"Xingtai stopped production, Heze stopped production, Linyi stopped production, Henan stopped production, Shanxi stopped production, Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei was completely stopped production, then all unqualified two months will be stopped, then the time will be rich and not necessarily have goods. The business is not willing to accept the contract, facing the breach of contract, lawsuit, where is the way of the 2017 small and medium-sized enterprises?!!!!!
And most of the small and medium-sized enterprises in China rely on the policy support of a few years ago and borrow money from the banks, making the first bucket of gold by relying on the duplication of construction and price advantages. In the small and medium-sized enterprises, there are a large number of high pollution, high energy consumption of raw materials manufacturers, because of the production capacity has been in excess of the last few years, the start-up rate is not high, resulting in little profit, it is difficult to raise funds to transform the production line of their own factory, to add environmental protection facilities.
Now, this part of the enterprise has been very difficult to get preferential policies from the government. In the face of government pressure, this part of this part of the enterprise left two roads, or upgrade to high and new technology, high-end manufacturing enterprises.